A recent opinion article on Washington Post (WaPo), titled Earth Dancing So Close to a Temperature Shift, is so inaccurate in fact that it’s worth calling BS on.
The article is wrong. (emphasis, links added)
Turning points have not occurred in the modern era with regard to climate change, and in fact, The claimed temperature is 1.5°C that it It is supposed to trigger the turning point has already been exceeded With no measurable ill effects.
In an article by F.D.
Between this summer’s biblical floods, horrific fires, and life-threatening heat domes, people are starting to wonder if We have lurched around some kind of climatic tipping point.
Climate scientists and ecologists who study tipping points say what we’re seeing are just extreme events amplified by global warming. but They have been warning about the dangers of climate tipping points for years. Now people are listening.
The research was published last year in Sciences Indicates that the risk of a global tipping point leading to accelerated climate warming begins to become significant once it becomes a worldwide average Temperatures are 1.5°C higher than pre-industrial levels. This probably happened in the 30s.
While turning points in Earth’s climate have occurred before in the planet’s history, such as ice ages, It occurred naturally without any human intervention.
Until now The author cites the so-called expert opinion to suggest it We’re already flirting with the critical points. supply There is no evidence or basis to substantiate this claim because nothing.
Timothy Linton, Chair of Climate Change and Earth System Sciences at the University of Exeter, told Flamm Extreme events make the news It may be this summer An early warning sign he calls “palpitations.” A short visit to the other side of the point of no return.
“a complex system It can start sometimes Sample from a different system or country before taking More permanent transformation into that stateLinton said. “I hope that is not the case.”
Climate Profile: The Turning Point – Heating 1.5 ° CAnd Lie succinctly lays out his concerns, noting:
- Climate-concerns (and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) say we need to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial times to avoid catastrophic consequences, but The data suggests that we have already reached these temperatures.
- European temperature data is shown Temperatures started to rise around 1890. (Note that This was before the recent huge rise in carbon dioxide emissions.)
- As described in this climate profile as well as by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Catastrophic predictions of extreme climate change have not come true.
The bottom line is that large parts of the Earth Owns It has already seen a 1.5°C rise in temperature According to the temperature data.
Europe has the best and longest temperature records On this planet, and These temperature records show that warming has already exceeded 1.5°CHorrified, however Disaster predictions did not come true.
Figure 1 is the Berkeley mean surface temperature record for Europe. Europe is a good site for analysis because Some of the longest continuous temperature records are from Europe.
It shows that not only 1.5 °C, but 2.0 °C warming has already occurred. However, despite this warming, No catastrophic turning points occurred.
Figure 1. Berkeley average European land temperature since 1750. Source
Climate alarmists like Flam warn that we must take drastic steps within the next 10 years to keep warming even Less than or near 1.5 °C above preindustrial conditions.
They claim it Warming beyond the 1.5°C threshold will unleash it crisis Extreme weather events are much worse And other climatic damage.
However, the disastrous predictions of fears did not come true, and History shows that they have been wrong for decades.
climate realism I mentioned about the lack of a “tipping point” in the article, the media cannot agree on the number of climatic tipping points, for example much less.
It is important to note that the The threshold of 1.5 °C is an arbitrary numberand he Science does not know him. It was determined through political negotiations in the 2015 Paris Agreement Agreement.
An Associated Press article, Magic 1.5: Beyond the Elusive Main Goal of Climate Talks, acknowledges the saying, “…in a way Both thresholds of 1.5 and 2 °C are somewhat arbitraryStanford University climate scientist Rob Jackson said in an email. “Every tenth of a degree counts!” “
If every tenth of a degree countsaccording to the data from Europe in Fig. 1, We should have already seen “climate catastrophes” happen, The prevailing trends are the increase in extreme weather events. But there are no such trends.
the The temperatures we are witnessing this summer in the northern hemisphere They are just weather events that happened before.
Some claims about record temperatures have proven laughably false.
The idea of catastrophic “tipping points” might lead to good headlines and stories, however There is no evidence. there There is no reason to believe that Humans face catastrophic turning points Now and for sure There is no reason to believe the WaPo opinion page.
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